Intraday Portfolio Signal

Real-time portfolio intelligence for Balance Responsible Parties. Know your allocation while the day is still yours to trade.

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The grid doesn't wait for D+1

Rooftop solar, heat pumps, and EV charging have made retail portfolios volatile and hard to predict. Official allocation volumes only arrive D+1 or D+2.

 

Result? Intraday decision based on a forecast with no visibility into what your portfolio actually did in the last ISP.

 

In intraday markets, that blind spot has a price tag.

Eneve Intraday Portfolio Signal fixes that.

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THE REAL-TIME PULSE OF YOUR PORTFOLIO

The Intraday Portfolio Signal gives you an immediate read on what your portfolio is actually doing. Not a day later.

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Near real-time, within five minutes

Aggregated from P1 smart meter data via P1 dongles. Updated continuously throughout the day. Far ahead of D+1 P4 settlement data.

Regional & national coverage

Defined per direction (injection and offtake) and per DSO region, as well as at national level, so you can pinpoint where portfolio behaviour is shifting.

A nowcast of dynamic profile fractions

The Steering Signal approximates DPF in near real time using a representative subset of meters, and gives you what DPF would show, without the delay.

Continuously self-correcting forecast

Forecast errors from completed ISPs are propagated forward with a decaying factor, so that each period benefits from actual observed behaviour.

THE GOAL: STEERING TOWARDS THE FUTURE

Continuously.

Beyond 'just forecasting'. 

 

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FROM RAW DATA TO TRADING ACTION

01

Signal Collection

  • P1 data aggregated from thousands of households by region and nationally.
  • Available as a single dynamic indicator within ~5 minutes of real time.

02

Allocation Estimation

  • A model trained on historical steering data.
  • Allocation volumes translates each ISP's signal into an estimated allocation volume, without waiting for D+1 data.

03

Forecast Adjustment

  • The gap between estimated allocation and your submitted nomination is calculated & propagated forward across upcoming ISPs.
  • The decaying correction factor counted to avoid overcompensation.

One Signal, Two Wins

Ex-post and intraday trading place different demands on your forecast. The Intraday Portfolio Signal addresses both.

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Ex-post trading

Know your imbalance before D+1

Official allocation volumes are only published D+1 or D+2. The Intraday Portfolio Signal links completed ISP signals to historical allocation data; and lets you estimate your imbalance position immediately after each period. This way, you can prepare your ex-post trading strategy hours earlier.

Intraday Trading

Continuously Corrected Intraday Forecasts

After each ISP, Eneve's allocation estimate is compared against your submitted nomination. The resulting error is immediately fed forward into upcoming ISPs. This keeps your intraday forecast responsive to what the portfolio is actually doing right now.

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Better Signal. Better Forecast. Better Outcome.

See how Eneve fits into your new or existing portfolio management, balancing and shipping suite.

Let's chat
3-May-05-2026-02-13-41-6285-PM